What are the chances?

[Rowing_Rower]

I am wondering what are the chances of medalling at Crash B's in the junior lightweight category next year if I am 16 y/o, 154 lbs and pull a 6:40 ish 2k as of now?

My 2k: March 22, 2017 6:41.6
400m, 1:36.0, 30 spm
800m, 1:39.2, 29 spm
1200m, 1:42.2, 29 spm
1600m, 1:42.7, 28 spm
2000m, 1:41.6, 30 spm

[bisqeet]

i don't think there is a specific u16 lwt discipline, so you will be thrown in with the j18 group.
winner of that group was about 6:00
6:40 was about #38

very strong group... but anything can happen - you have a year to train/improve...
best of luck...