5x5’ pacing as a 6k prediction?

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Erger2222
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5x5’ pacing as a 6k prediction?

Post by Erger2222 » November 29th, 2024, 12:49 pm

With 5 minutes rest in between sets. I was thinking this would be around 2-3 splits faster? Was wondering what you guys thought. Thx

Dangerscouse
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Re: 5x5’ pacing as a 6k prediction?

Post by Dangerscouse » November 29th, 2024, 1:04 pm

Tbh, I don't think it is relevant to a 6k. If it was me, I'd be around 1450m in five minutes for an interval session, so it's no way near a 6k.

I'm not a big fan of predictors, especially when you get over 2k as there's so much that can change, so just doing a 6k is my best advice
51 HWT; 6' 4"; 1k= 3:09; 2k= 6:36; 5k= 17:19; 6k= 20:47; 10k= 35:46 30mins= 8,488m 60mins= 16,618m HM= 1:16.47; FM= 2:40:41; 50k= 3:16:09; 100k= 7:52:44; 12hrs = 153km

"You reap what you row"

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iain
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Re: 5x5’ pacing as a 6k prediction?

Post by iain » November 29th, 2024, 1:21 pm

There will also be differences based on pace as someone doing the intervals at 1:40 would be doing 7.5k of intervals (so broadly PP 5 x 1.5k that is often stated as being about 5k pace so perhaps 1S quicker than 6k, while someone doing 2:30 pace would only do 5k, so extra interval beyond a session done around 2k pace so perhaps 6S faster than 6k!
56, lightweight in pace and by gravity. Currently training 3-4 times a week after a break to slowly regain the pitiful fitness I achieved a few years ago. Free Spirit, come join us http://www.freespiritsrowing.com/forum/

MPx
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Re: 5x5’ pacing as a 6k prediction?

Post by MPx » November 29th, 2024, 8:25 pm

Dangerscouse wrote:
November 29th, 2024, 1:04 pm
I'm not a big fan of predictors, especially when you get over 2k as there's so much that can change, so just doing a 6k is my best advice
I'm with Stu on this - though it may come across a bit harsh to someone just asking for guidance. I've notice these questions coming up more and more often on here and I'm wondering if the rationale behind our "predictors" has become a bit confused - so here's my take on what they're for.

I see their use is to help set a target pace for a TT. If you're trying for a PB you are by definition going into unknown territory. You will be tickling the edges of failure so having a strong predictor of what you should be capable of is very helpful to set a target pace and be reasonably confident in being able to achieve it.

Unfortunately this has become a bit circular and "Predictors" or their equivalent are also being used the other way around for training. I suspect this is because many workouts in a training plan might be set out as to be done at 5k +/-n or 2k +/-n. But the idea of doing intervals at 2k+/-n is to have a training effect, not to set a PB - although hopefully scores for the training pieces will improve over time. So look at the training notes for what you're trying to get out of the session and act accordingly - no sense in killing yourself on an SS day, etc.

The real problems come because we are all a bit different in how these things translate. As a stronger sprinter, I can only dream of the scores people might predict I could get for a 5 or 6k from my sprint times. Others with what seem to me to be phenomenol distance scores don't necessarily appear all that special on the sprints by comparison. So my suggestions:

To predict a sprint... dont bother, just do a few and find out. To predict anything 2k upwards, dont use a sprint - minimum 1k reps. The 4x1k 5r has the most gravitas - so if you want to predict a 2k without just doing a 2k then do the 4x1k. Once you've done a competitive 2k then a resonable target for most of the other distances can be set from there. Any number of 500m reps won't really tell you anything useful about 2k+ distances - though I can say that for me that 6x500 2r = 8x500 3:30r = 2k-5 = 5k-11. But that won't help anyone else!
Mike - 67 HWT 183

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jamesg
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Re: 5x5’ pacing as a 6k prediction?

Post by jamesg » November 30th, 2024, 3:04 am

With 5 minutes rest in between sets. I was thinking this would be around 2-3 splits faster? Was wondering what you guys thought. Thx
Five minutes rest would get you cold; a minute or two is enough to get HR down.

The idea of interval training is just that, get the HR down between pieces that would push it too high: AT, so ratings 24-28.

A 6k training the stroke would be done at say 23, in order to keep the stroke-work (W/rate) high, but without early death. You can always adjust rating, if it's a race or TT or just a full course; if you have something in reserve.
08-1940, 183cm, 83kg.
2024: stroke 5.5W-min@20-21. ½k 190W, 1k 145W, 2k 120W. Using Wods 4-5days/week. Fading fast.

jamesg
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Re: 5x5’ pacing as a 6k prediction?

Post by jamesg » November 30th, 2024, 3:31 am

If you really want to predict, it's best done using your data. Plot Watts / log distance for every piece you do, including the single intervals, ie not the total of the interval set.
08-1940, 183cm, 83kg.
2024: stroke 5.5W-min@20-21. ½k 190W, 1k 145W, 2k 120W. Using Wods 4-5days/week. Fading fast.

Dangerscouse
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Re: 5x5’ pacing as a 6k prediction?

Post by Dangerscouse » November 30th, 2024, 5:31 am

MPx wrote:
November 29th, 2024, 8:25 pm
The real problems come because we are all a bit different in how these things translate. As a stronger sprinter, I can only dream of the scores people might predict I could get for a 5 or 6k from my sprint times. Others with what seem to me to be phenomenol distance scores don't necessarily appear all that special on the sprints by comparison.

I find that the 5k and 6k are possibly the worst distances for being unpredictable if you're doing a TT. I always have a huge wobble at about 3.5k which is what you can never prepare for and can easily derail progress.

My sprints are definitely in the non-special bracket, as i just don't seem to have the ability, or desire, to dig in and really smash out a decent time.

Ps I seem to have messed up the formatting somehow
51 HWT; 6' 4"; 1k= 3:09; 2k= 6:36; 5k= 17:19; 6k= 20:47; 10k= 35:46 30mins= 8,488m 60mins= 16,618m HM= 1:16.47; FM= 2:40:41; 50k= 3:16:09; 100k= 7:52:44; 12hrs = 153km

"You reap what you row"

Instagram: stuwenman

nick rockliff
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Re: 5x5’ pacing as a 6k prediction?

Post by nick rockliff » November 30th, 2024, 6:15 am

Erger2222 wrote:
November 29th, 2024, 12:49 pm
With 5 minutes rest in between sets. I was thinking this would be around 2-3 splits faster? Was wondering what you guys thought. Thx
Your general training sessions should be the predictor not some random interval session.

From my training I know what I'm capable of doing from 2k upwards to HM.
67 6' 4" 108kg
PBs 2k 6:16.4 5k 16:37.5 10k 34:35.5 30m 8727 60m 17059 HM 74:25.9 FM 2:43:48.8
50s PBs 2k 6.24.3 5k 16.55.4 6k 20.34.2 10k 35.19.0 30m 8633 60m 16685 HM 76.48.7
60s PBs 5k 17.51.2 10k 36.42.6 30m 8263 60m 16089 HM 79.16.6

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